Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.030918 0.033274 0.035630 0.038163 0.040802 0.043470 0.046366
2025-09-28 0.025776 0.029413 0.033178 0.037352 0.041835 0.046489 0.051673
2025-10-05 0.023933 0.028381 0.033087 0.038406 0.044221 0.050357 0.057292
2025-10-12 0.021855 0.026851 0.032244 0.038446 0.045333 0.052698 0.061125
2025-10-19 0.020113 0.025529 0.031482 0.038435 0.046259 0.054725 0.064513
2025-10-26 0.019253 0.025118 0.031662 0.039402 0.048207 0.057823 0.069030
2025-11-02 0.018016 0.024182 0.031169 0.039538 0.049162 0.059767 0.072226
2025-11-09 0.016808 0.023205 0.030564 0.039485 0.049850 0.061371 0.075003
2025-11-16 0.015663 0.022237 0.029913 0.039329 0.050377 0.062755 0.077502
2025-11-23 0.014556 0.021257 0.029198 0.039052 0.050724 0.063901 0.079703
2025-11-30 0.013631 0.020454 0.028654 0.038942 0.051234 0.065210 0.082068
2025-12-07 0.012514 0.019356 0.027706 0.038306 0.051090 0.065733 0.083506
2025-12-14 0.011363 0.018212 0.026725 0.037678 0.051028 0.066447 0.085290
2025-12-21 0.010179 0.016978 0.025600 0.036856 0.050730 0.066895 0.086791
2025-12-28 0.009918 0.016960 0.025999 0.037904 0.052677 0.069979 0.091362
2026-01-04 0.009255 0.016353 0.025611 0.037943 0.053378 0.071572 0.094175
2026-01-11 0.008624 0.015753 0.025203 0.037932 0.053996 0.073052 0.096846
2026-01-18 0.008416 0.015741 0.025561 0.038891 0.055810 0.075966 0.101219
2026-01-25 0.007913 0.015274 0.025292 0.039026 0.056587 0.077623 0.104092
2026-02-01 0.007378 0.014729 0.024892 0.038974 0.057115 0.078968 0.106586
2026-02-08 0.006844 0.014156 0.024431 0.038819 0.057499 0.080126 0.108847
2026-02-15 0.006307 0.013545 0.023893 0.038544 0.057714 0.081066 0.110837
2026-02-22 0.005859 0.013047 0.023493 0.038435 0.058127 0.082240 0.113103